Weather risk consulting · Germany, Benelux, UK & Ireland
A forecast gives you probabilities. You still have to make a yes-or-no call: grit tonight or wait, keep the site open or clear it, put extra crews on standby or stand them down. I turn forecast uncertainty into clear guidance on what could happen, how likely it is, what it would mean for your operation, and when you need to decide.
Chartered Meteorologist (CMet) · Fellow of the Royal Meteorological Society · 20+ years
The challenge
Weather data has never been easier to get. Turning it into the right decision at the right time is still hard. These are the three problems I hear most often.
“Every app says something different.”
Models disagree, forecasts change between runs, and a single icon hides the range of what could happen. Teams end up reacting to the latest update instead of planning.
How I helpI weigh the models and ensembles for you and explain the realistic range: the most likely outcome, the plausible worst case, and how confident the forecast is.
“We know it'll be windy. But is it a problem for us?”
A warning tells you about the weather, not about your stage, your roads or your crops. The same 70 km/h gust is routine for one operation and critical for another.
How I helpWe agree your thresholds first. Every briefing then translates the forecast into impact: which assets, which locations, which hours.
“We have to decide before the forecast is certain.”
Crews, gritters and stewards need hours or days of notice. Wait for certainty and it's too late; act too early and you pay for false alarms.
How I helpI tell you when a decision is needed, what would change it, and when the picture will be clearer, so you can act early when it matters and hold back when it doesn't.
About
Weather only matters when people understand what it means for them. That has been the core of my work for two decades.
I've forecast for road maintenance, energy, marine, retail and insurance clients in the UK, Ireland, Austria and Australia. I've advised clients ahead of severe weather and trained forecasters and staff. I have also presented the weather on TV, radio and video in English and German.
As an independent consultant I bring those strands together: sound meteorological and hydrological analysis, delivered as clear guidance that a duty manager, a gritting supervisor or an incident commander can act on.
Who I help
Each sector has its own thresholds and lead times. I start from yours.
Outdoor festivals, sports and public events where a wrong call costs money or puts people at risk.
Gritting and winter service teams deciding when to treat, and how much.
Local authorities, fire services and emergency planners preparing for high-impact weather.
Growers, vineyards and agricultural advisers for whom frost or hail is a costly event.
Underwriters, loss adjusters and energy operators who need event analysis or risk insight.
Broadcasters, publishers and organisations that need a credible weather voice.
Services
A planning call to agree your thresholds, then written or video briefings in the run-up and on the day.
Reading forecasts and warnings, handling uncertainty, and making decisions on difficult days. For winter service teams, emergency planners and operations staff.
Which weather hazards matter for your site, route or operation, how often they occur, and what thresholds to plan around.
A documented reconstruction of what happened, when and how severe it was, for insurers, councils or internal review.
Pre-season checks of decision processes and post-season verification of forecasts against treatment records.
Talks, panel appearances, interviews and voiceover in English and German.
How it works
A free 30-minute conversation about your operation and the decisions weather affects.
We agree what you need, the hazards that matter and the levels at which you act.
Briefings, reports or training in the format your team already uses.
A short debrief on what worked, so the next event goes better.
From the field
I don't only watch storms on radar. I go out and see them develop.
Years of storm chasing and sky photography give me a feel for how storms behave on the ground, and that goes into every briefing.Experience
Editorial forecasting for app users through written and visual forecasts. Weather expert in videos for WetterOnline (Germany) and Weather & Radar (UK and Ireland), plus voiceover for the UK market. Previously US brand visibility and app optimisation, meteorological training for European teams and media relations.
Operational forecasts for retail, marine, road maintenance and energy clients in the UK, Ireland and Australia. Short and long range products, bespoke statements, client consultations and research supporting visualisation and numerical modelling.
Weather insight for clients in insurance, energy and other sectors, with a focus on advising ahead of severe weather. Created training materials and led professional seminars and workshops.
Editor and lead forecaster producing weather graphics, maps and forecasts for newspapers, radio and Hamburg's local TV station. Presented weather and climate impacts at the Klimahaus Bremerhaven 8° Ost.
Contact
Briefings, training, risk assessments, reports or media work. I usually reply within two working days, in English or German.
Write to me with a few lines about your organisation, the decisions you face and the weather that matters to you. I will get back to you to arrange a short initial call.
